CSN Outputs

The final outputs are a set of authoritative forecasts, scenarios and findings, which all take into account specialist, sectoral and regional differences in the form of National and Regional Labour Market Intelligence (LMI) Reports which are published annually.

The CSN reports published in January 2010 show the prognosis for the UK construction industry in the short term is very severe with construction output expected to have contracted by around 13% in 2009. The fall in employment in the sector has also been severe with a drop by approximately 375,000 workers from 2008 to 2010 and recoup by less than 100,000 by 2014.

A further, but marginal, decline is projected for 2010, but consistent recovery is not forecast until 2011, with a slow and steady return to moderate levels of growth as confidence returns to the market. Over the whole of the 2010 to 2014 period construction output is expected to average 1.7% growth each year.

As with previous CSN forecasts, there are distinct regional and national variations with construction output in the North West down by 18%, North East down by 19% and West Midlands down by 22% in 2009. Conversely, the East of England, East Midlands, Scotland and Wales perform the best across the UK in forecast output terms. In large part, the variations reflect when different regions and devolved nations first entered into recession.

Click on the sections below to view the forecasts and area reports (published in January 2010) and to access historical data back to 2006.